FPLAIInsights
Differentials18 May 2026

GW38 Differential Targets: Low-Owned Gems to Finish the Season Strong

Thiago is bleeding 34,664 transfers out this week while Ekitiké, Timber and Kudus are all flagged injured, forcing urgent squad surgery before the final whistle of the season. With Haaland at 64.5% and Bruno Fernandes at 47.7% dominating squads, the managers who pick differently stand to leap mini-league rivals. Gibbs-White, Anderson and Truffert offer high-ceiling, low-ownership routes to a strong finish.

Differential Targets

Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNFO · MID · £7.5m
BUY — 88%
Form 8.8Owned 7.0%Fixture NFO vs (h) diff 3

Form of 8.8 across recent weeks paired with only 7.0% ownership makes him the standout differential this gameweek. A home fixture against a low-difficulty side is the perfect backdrop for a big haul.

Jota AndersonNFO · MID · £5.6m
BUY — 81%
Form 7.2Owned 7.6%Fixture NFO vs (h) diff 3

At just £5.6m and 7.6% ownership, Anderson offers budget-friendly differential value in the same favourable NFO home fixture. His form of 7.2 and low price point make him an easy double-up on the NFO attack.

TruffertBOU · DEF · £4.7m
BUY — 74%
Form 5.8Owned 4.7%Fixture BOU (a) diff 3

At £4.7m and only 4.7% owned, Truffert is the cheapest route to differential points in GW38. Two manageable fixtures and consistent attacking returns from left-back make him a savvy budget play to close the season.

Players to Sell

Thiago
Transfers out: -34,664Owned: 32.2%Form: 2.6Haemorrhaging transfers and dismal form of 2.6. Easy sell.
Ekitiké
Owned: 15.9%Injury flagged. Too risky in a single-gameweek finale.
J. Timber
Owned: 15.5%Injury flagged. Avoid until confirmed fit.

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