FPLAIInsights
Captain20 May 2026

GW38 Captain Pick: Haaland at Home the Safe Armband as MCI Host AVL

The final gameweek of the season arrives with Erling Haaland hosting Aston Villa at the Etihad, a fixture that hands AVL a difficulty rating of 5 away from home. At 64.4% ownership, blanking on Haaland's captaincy could be a rank-destroying decision, yet differentials exist for managers chasing a green arrow to end the campaign.

Erling HaalandCAPTAIN -- 91%
MCI | FWDForm: 6.8Owned: 64.4%Price: £14.7mFixture: MCI (h) vs AVL (a, diff 5)

Haaland's home record against low-block sides is exceptional and Villa arrive as heavy underdogs with the highest away difficulty rating this week. Missing this captaincy at 64.4% ownership risks a season-ending rank collapse with no gameweeks left to recover.

Ollie WatkinsDIFFERENTIAL -- 68%
AVL | FWDForm: 6.8Owned: 13.4%Transfers In: +36,551Fixture: MCI (h, diff 3) vs AVL (a, diff 5)

Watkins matches Haaland's form score of 6.8 this gameweek and sits at just 13.4% ownership, meaning a big return would generate enormous rank movement. The away fixture at MCI carries a difficulty of 5, but Watkins' counter-attacking threat and clinical finishing make him the standout captaincy differential for the final day.

Dominik SzoboszlaiBOLD PICK -- 61%
LIV | MIDForm: 6.2Transfers In: +52,538Price: £7.0mFixture: LIV (h, diff 3) vs BRE (a, diff 4)

Szoboszlai is the most transferred-in player heading into GW38 with over 52,000 new owners backing him. Liverpool host Brentwood at Anfield with a fixture difficulty of just 3, and Szoboszlai's form score of 6.2 combined with his budget-friendly £7.0m price tag make him the most explosive midfield differential available this week.

GW38 Top Form Players

PlayerTeamPosPriceForm
AndersonNFOMID£5.6m8.5
RayaARSGKP£6.2m7.8
GabrielARSDEF£7.3m7.8
SenesiBOUDEF£5.2m7.5
DokuMCIMID£6.5m7.0

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